• Biden is Jimmeh Carter 2

    From Sean Dennis@618:618/10 to All on Fri Dec 10 12:15:14 2021
    [I wonder why Democrats are jumping ship? Buyer's remose, perhaps? -- SD]

    From: https://tinyurl.com/mt69uxwt (theepochtimes.com)

    Vulnerable, Moderate Dems Breaking With Biden More Frequently as Midterms

    By Joseph Lord
    December 8, 2021

    News Analysis

    As the 2022 midterms draw nearer, several Democrats are distancing
    themselves from President Joe Biden, whose popularity has dwindled since
    taking office.

    At the beginning of Biden's presidency, congressional Democrats marched
    largely in lockstep with the president. But as his first year in office
    approaches its end, that situation has changed drastically.

    Still reeling from the public opinion hit incurred by the Afghanistan
    withdrawal, and faced with ongoing supply chain, inflation, and energy
    crises, Biden has become far less popular with voters-a fact that has not
    gone unnoticed by congressional Democrats, who have started to break with
    Biden more and more frequently.

    At the end of May, Biden's approval rating hit a peak of 55 percent
    according to Rasmussen's Daily Presidential Tracking Poll. This popularity
    would be short-lived and would fall sharply following Biden's
    controversial Afghanistan withdrawal.

    On Aug. 9, before the Afghanistan fiasco began, Biden's approval rate was
    still at 49 percent. But after the fall of Afghanistan left hundreds of
    Americans trapped in the country, public support for the president

    Polling at the time showed that nearly three-fifths of the country-59
    percent-felt that the Biden administration was not doing enough to save
    Americans trapped in the country.

    Afghan Withdrawal Prompts First Signs of Trouble

    By Sept. 1, the tide of public opinion had turned substantially against
    the president, with only 42 percent of likely voters approving of Biden.

    This sudden drop in public support prompted the first wave of defections
    among vulnerable Democrats, who rushed to distance themselves from the

    Rep. Crissy Houlahan (D-Penn.), whose seat has been rated vulnerable by
    the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), was one of the
    first to criticize the president in a public statement.

    In her statement, she contended that she and others had warned Biden of
    the danger but said that those warnings "fell on deaf ears."

    Several other vulnerable House Democrats quickly followed suit.

    In the Senate as well, some Democrats began to distance themselves from
    the president: Sens. Maggie Hassan (D-N.H.), Mark Kelly
    (D-Ariz.), Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev.), and others made a point of
    criticizing the withdrawal and promising action and oversight.

    Since then, things have only gotten worse for President Biden, prompting
    more and more Democrats to jump ship in an effort to save their seats in

    Biden Unable to Bridge House Progressive-Moderate Disputes

    Beginning in September, House moderates and progressives descended into
    open conflict over Biden's plans to force passage of both the budget bill
    and the $1.2 trillion infrastructure bill at the same time.

    Progressives argued that if the moderate-preferred infrastructure bill was
    passed, progressives would have no leverage to force moderates to vote on
    the much more controversial budget bill. Moderates, for their part, argued
    that the Senate's passage of the infrastructure bill was "a bipartisan
    victory for our nation" that should not be linked to the far more partisan

    One moderate, Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D-Fla.) went so far as to suggest
    that "[Democrats] can't afford to do everything" in the budget bill,
    despite Biden's contention that the bill would be fully paid for by
    increased taxes on the wealthy.

    Two closed-door visits by Biden to Capitol Hill-an exceedingly rare
    event-were insufficient to bridge these gaps, and neither the moderate
    faction nor the progressive faction yielded to Biden's plea to pass both

    Eventually, both bills were passed through the House, but the reasons for
    both sides relenting in their demands are not entirely clear; The bills
    passed weeks after Biden's second visit, making it unlikely that he played
    a significant role in the change.

    Whatever the cause for this eventual success, one member of the moderate
    faction, Rep. Jared Golden (D-Maine), voted with Republicans against the
    legislation. Like so many others distancing themselves from Biden,
    Golden's seat is considered vulnerable to a Republican takeover.

    Vaccine Mandate Challenged By Some Senate Democrats

    Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W. Va.), a self-described "conservative
    Democrat," announced on Dec. 3 that he would join Republicans in a motion
    to strike down Biden's unprecedented private sector vaccine mandate.

    Though Manchin often stands alone in opposing his party's proposals, he
    has been joined by another Senate Democratic colleague, Sen. Jon Tester

    The mandate, announced by Biden in September, would be enforced by the
    Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) and has faced strong
    criticism from Republicans, business leaders, and others.

    Under a 1990s piece of legislation, Congress can overturn OSHA rules
    through a filibuster-proof simple majority vote; Manchin's and Tester's
    decision to join all 50 Republicans in this endeavor all but guarantees
    that the rule will be overturned in the Senate.

    The motion will nevertheless still need to pass through the House, where
    Democrats will face another litmus test to gauge lawmakers' support for
    the Biden rule.

    Vulnerable Rep. Axne and Others Call on Biden to Address Inflation

    For the past several months, Democrats in both chambers of Congress and
    the Biden administration have insisted that the extreme inflation facing
    the country is only transitory, even as projections show that it will
    continue to rise.

    White House press secretary Jen Psaki and Biden himself have been
    especially supportive of this argument, insisting that the inflation is
    merely the short-term result of the CCP (Chinese Communist Party) virus

    But as inflation begins to squeeze middle America's pockets and with the
    looming threat of midterms on the horizon, this is a narrative that many
    Democrats facing reelection can no longer afford to parrot.

    In a Dec. 2 letter, Rep. Cindy Axne (D-Iowa) led a petition signed by 21
    other House Democrats calling on Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi
    (D-Calif.) and House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) to address
    increasing inflation.

    "We are concerned about the ongoing disruptions to our nation's supply
    chain, which are causing delays and increasing inflation for our
    constituents," the letter begins.

    "Congress must do more," the letter continued."We urge additional action
    by the House of Representatives to further address the disruptions and
    higher costs our constituents are experiencing."

    Only a few of the Democrats who signed the letter are not considered
    vulnerable by the NRCC.

    While the letter's signatories were careful not to place the blame on
    Biden himself, the mere recognition of inflation as a problem requiring
    congressional intervention is a break from the White House's position.

    Biden's Many Crises May Make Him a Liability in 2022

    As an inflation crisis, an energy crisis, and other economic woes continue
    to plague the first year of Biden's presidency, sticking close to the
    president may not seem as safe a strategy as it has been in the past.

    Historically, presidential endorsements of tight congressional or
    state-level races have carried considerable influence; in fact, former
    President Donald Trump continues to exert considerable influence over the
    outcome of some races.

    But Virginia's recent gubernatorial election showed the cracks in Biden's
    ability to sway elections.

    Despite the efforts of Biden, former President Barack Obama, Vice
    President Kamala Harris, and others, Republican Glenn Youngkin handily
    defeated Democrat Terry McAuliffe in what some predicted would be a tight

    Observers argued that the race was a litmus test to gauge public support
    for Biden as he approached the end of his first year, a fact that
    encouraged Democrats to throw millions of dollars and a slate of
    high-profile endorsements into the race. Still, Youngkin, who said that "a
    vote for me is a vote for Donald Trump," won by safe margins.

    In another surprise, the gubernatorial race in New Jersey was extremely
    close, with Republican Jack Ciattarelli losing by extremely thin margins
    for the historically blue state.

    Some Democrats, like former Hillary Clinton running mate Sen. Tim Kaine
    (D-Va.), doubled down on their support for Biden's policy goals after the

    "A lot of politics is about timing," Kaine said. "And there was a time to
    [pass Biden's spending bills] that would have helped in both [Virginia and
    New Jersey]."

    Moderates in the party disagree, however.

    Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.), a relatively moderate Democrat, told reporters
    that the fault lies with McAuliffe.

    "You can't win in Virginia if you only appeal to very liberal voters,"
    Warner commented.

    But the message to vulnerable Democrats is clear: An endorsement from
    Biden cannot guarantee victory, even in states that have been historically
    blue or states that went blue in both 2016 and 2020.

    And the president's poll numbers have continued to drop, with Rasmussen
    showing that on Dec. 8, only 42 percent of voters think Biden is doing a
    good job. According to another Rasmussen poll, only 31 percent of likely
    voters think that the country is headed in the right direction under Biden
    and the Democratic Congress.

    Now, with midterms drawing nearer and no end to the supply chain,
    inflation, energy, and other crises in sight, even more Democrats may find
    themselves faced with the decision to distance themselves from the
    president or be defeated in 2022.

    -- Sean

    ... After all is said and done, a lot more has been said than done.
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